Note: 12M MA - 12 months moving average, Permits - New Private Housing Structures Authorized by Building Permits. Source: FRED
Housing market overview
Clarksville, TN-KY MSA Overview
The Clarksville, TN-KY Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) includes Montgomery County and Stewart County in Tennessee, plus Christian County in Kentucky.
Total 2024 estimated population: 345,955 across 5,589 km², with density of 61.90/km².
Core city Clarksville, TN: 2025 projected population 190,352 (2024: 185,690), 5th largest in Tennessee.
Montgomery County: 249,818 (2025 est.); Christian County, KY (home to Fort Campbell): key portion of MSA population.
Key geographic areas: Central urban Clarksville along Cumberland River; Fort Campbell military base straddling TN-KY border; rural outskirts in Stewart and Christian Counties.
Young median age: 30.4-31.9 years, driven by military and university presence.
Area
City/town
Population
Density
Income (high/low/...)
Quality of Schools (GreatSchools rating range)
Crime level
Property tax (%)
Comments
Central
Clarksville, TN
190,352 (2025 proj.)
High urban
Median HH $66,786
4-8/10
Moderate
0.63% (Montgomery Co.)
County seat, Austin Peay State Univ., rapid growth +2.5%/yr.
Military
Fort Campbell area (Hopkinsville, KY)
~30k in Christian Co. portion
Medium
Median HH $66,210 (MSA)
5-7/10
Low-moderate
0.80% (Christian Co., KY)
101st Airborne base drives economy, young families.
Rural North
Dover, TN (Stewart Co.)
~1,500
Low
Below MSA median
3-6/10
Low
0.47% (Stewart Co.)
Sparse, agriculture-focused, low development.
Outskirts
Oak Grove, KY
~8,000
Medium-low
MSA average
4-7/10
Moderate
0.80% (Christian Co.)
Suburban spillover from base, growing residential.
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Citizens: Income and Education
MSA median household income: $66,210 (2023), up 6.47% from 2022; per capita $32,639.
Clarksville city median HH income: $66,786 (2023); 9.2% families in poverty.
Income distribution: Slightly above state averages for similar MSAs, boosted by military pay.
Racial/ethnic: White 55-63.5%, Black 18.1-22.96%, Hispanic 10-12.5%, Two+ races 5.37-11.65%.
Education: Young population (median age 31.9); Austin Peay State University (10,270 students) key factor.
Bachelor's or higher: ~25-30% adults (MSA average), higher near university/military.
High school completion: 92%+; military presence emphasizes vocational/tech training.
Key Economic Sectors
Military: Fort Campbell (101st Airborne) anchors economy, employs 30k+ active duty.
Education: Austin Peay State University drives youth influx, local services.
Manufacturing/Logistics: Proximity to I-24, rivers (Cumberland, Tennessee); 650 miles navigable waterways.
Retail/Healthcare: Supports growing population; 32 local parks boost tourism/recreation.
Government: County seats in Clarksville, Hopkinsville.
Agriculture: Rural Stewart/Christian Counties.
Housing Buying Market: Supply Drivers
Zoning openness: Montgomery County moderately permissive; new subdivisions approved rapidly for growth.
Regulatory strictness: Low barriers vs. Nashville MSA; flood plain rules near rivers limit some sites.
Construction workforce cost: Affordable labor pool from local/military families; costs 10-15% below TN average.
New permits: Steady issuance, +15% YoY tied to population boom (14k added 2021-2024).
Land availability: Abundant rural land in Stewart/Christian Counties; urban infill in Clarksville.
Challenges: Military base restrictions limit adjacent development.
Housing Buying Market: Demand Drivers
Migration in: Net +1.76-2.5% annual growth; doubled since 1995, on track for 200k city by 2028.
Growing industries: Military stable/expanding; logistics/manufacturing +5-7% jobs from I-24 corridor.
Young families/military PCS: Fort Campbell rotations bring 10k+ households yearly.
Spillover from Nashville: Cheaper housing draws commuters (45-min drive).
Declining: Minimal out-migration; rural agriculture stable but not expanding.
Key Challenges on the Housing Market
Supply lag: Population +14k in 3 years outpaces builds; inventory low at 2-3 months.
Affordability: Median home $250-300k strains $66k incomes; rents $1,400+ for 3BR.
Flood risk: Cumberland River zones require elevated builds, raising costs 10-20%.
Military turnover: High vacancy/re-sales from deployments disrupt stability.
Infrastructure strain: Schools, roads lagging growth; traffic on Hwy 79/41A.
KY-TN tax/regulation diffs: Cross-border buyers face varying property assessments.
Area
Appreciation potential
Risk
Key drivers
Central Clarksville
High
Medium
Population boom +2.5%, university, riverfront redevelopment; values +8-12%/yr.
Fort Campbell corridor (Oak Grove, Hopkinsville)
High
Low
Military demand steady; family housing shortage; +7-10% potential.
Rural Stewart Co. (Dover)
Low
High
Sparse growth, ag-dependent; flood risks; flat or -2% risk.
Eastern suburbs (Sango, Woodlawn)
Medium-High
Medium
Nashville commuters, new builds; +5-9%; infrastructure dependent.
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Market Outlook
Overall MSA growth projects 10% population rise by 2028, favoring urban/military zones.
Investment favors central/Fort areas over rural; monitor base expansions.
No local personal income tax (TN none; KY flat 4.5% state-only, no city add-ons).
Property taxes low: 0.47-0.80% effective rates support affordability.